Thailand: Calm or in crisis?


With all the furor over students protesting the military PM, the back-stage machinations of the round-up of police untouchables, Human Rights Watch’s urgent condemnation of Thai repression, and overseas pro-Thaksin cheerleaders (both Thai and foreigners) rooting for disaster on social media, it is shocking to find an article that does not claim the country is not on the verge of breakdown.
The article is correct. No Red Shirt protest will be risked again until the outlines of a new constitution or election procedures are known. Until then, the strategy is to boycott the process while not giving the military have any excuses to delay the entire process. The military will almost certainly fumble away its legitimacy while every effort will be made to destabilize the domestic economy.

Thai politics is eerily quiet – Straits Times, November 26, 2014
Just over six months after Thailand’s latest military coup, the country’s politics appears calm and puzzling at the same time.
Events that should be taking place on the ground are not, and those that have transpired have been unanticipated and counter-intuitive…
Yet, if such repeated disenfranchisements through military coups were to happen elsewhere, such as in Latin America and Africa, those whose political and fundamental rights and freedoms are stripped away so blatantly would probably not take it so tamely as people have in Thailand.
No broad-based uprising is evident on the Thai scene, at least during the post-coup six months…

Thailand: Unending Repression 6 Months Post-Coup – Human Rights Watch, November 25, 2014
[And incredibly, this link,, is blocked from within Thailand, but only when searching via Google with something like “human rights watch thailand.” This points up the haphazard way the net has always been censored in Thailand. Similarly Daily Mail links are sometimes accessible when accessed from Google search results.]

Student protest will grow unless their voices are heard – The Nation, November 26, 2014
…It’s unlikely the junta understands that its tough action against student activists will stimulate even greater growth of a student movement. And as suppression continues, all students will unite.

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